CORPORATE PROFITS GROWTH
LEADING INDICATOR

Resources

News

Bloomberg
Nightly Business Report
Wall Street Journal
Barron's
The New York Times
Reuters
CNBC
Datastream
Financial Times
Yahoo Finance
Google Finance
Barchart.com
StockCharts.com

Cycles, Monetary Policy, Asset Prices - Theories Models Research Analysis Forecast

National Bureau of Economic Research
Business Cycle academic research overview
Nobel Prize in Economics 2004: Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott
Nobel Prize in Economics 2003: Robert F. Engle III and Clive W.J. Granger

S&P 500 Index Earnings

Asset Allocation

Does Asset Allocation Policy Explain 40, 90, or 100 Percent of Performance? - Roger G. Ibbotson and Paul D.Kaplan
Determinants of Portfolio Performance II - An update. G.Brinson, B.Singer, G.Beebower
The endless search for macro policy solutions to business cycle - The Capital Spectator
Sector Rotation - CXO Research
Economy and Stock Market - CXO Research
US Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
United States Department of the Treasury
National Bureau of Economic Research Economic Indicators
USA Business Cycles Dating Committee
Euro Area CERP Business Cycle Dating Committee
Comparing NIPA Profits with S&P500 Profits
Energy Information Administration
FED of St Louis - Economic Research
USA Govt Total National Debt DEBTOUTD:IND
USA Federal Surplus/Deficit FDDSSD:IND
Recovery.gov - tracking 2009 stimulus package
USAspending.gov
Economic Highlights - Fed of Atlanta
Financial Highlights - Fed of Atlanta
IMF Publications
USDebtClock.org
European Central Bank - Statistical Data Warehouse
Eurostat - European Commission statistics
Chicago Board Options Exchange
CBOE Products
Quotes - SPX DJX Index Options & LEAPS
VIX - CBOE SPX Volatility Index (measures cost of insurance against declines in S&P500)
Recessions & Recoveries charts - Fed of Minneapolis
Sector rotation across the business cycle - Ben Jacobsen

USA Housing Market Data

National Association of Home Builders
National Association of Realtors
House Price Index & Graphs - major USA cities
US Exisiting Home Sales SAAR (in mil) ETSLTOTL:IND
US Property Values - S&P/Case-Shiller US SPCSUSAY:IND
US Median Sales Price - Existing Homes ETSLMP:IND
Home Prices - FHFA (financed by FRN, FNM)
Home Prices - all loans - Loan Performance HPI
Home Prices - S&P Case-Shiller Composite 20
US Existing One Family Home Sales (mil ann.) EHSLSL:IND
US Building Permits (New Privately Owned Houses) NHSPSTOT:IND
Mortgage Bankers Rates - USA 30y MB30:IND
Foreclosures as % of Loans DLQTFORE:IND
Supply - US existing home sales - months needed to sell all houses on the market ETSLMSUP:IND
Mortgage Applications - Basic
Mortgage Refinance
Mortgage Applications Purchase Index
Mortgages % Overdue 30+ days
Mortgages % Overdue 90+ days & foreclosure
Mortgages % Foreclosure
Housing and Business Cycle: Edward Leamer
Home Builders Confidence
Present Single Family Home Sales
Buyers Traffic - Prospective
Property Price Statistic - Eurostat

USA Commercial Real Estate Market Data

BBREIT Office Property Index BBREOFPY:IND
BBREIT Apartment Index BBREAPT:IND

USA stock market & housing data sets from Prof Robert Shiller

USA stock market data since 1871 monthly
USA home prices & construction costs data since 1890 annually

Leading Economic Indicators - The Conference Board

Economic Indicators: Business Cycle, CEO Confidence, Consumer Confidence, Help Wanted Advertising, Help Wanted OnLine
Consumer Confidence graph CONCCONF:IND
Business Cycle Indicators - The Conference Board
Business Cycle Indicators Handbook - The Conference Board

Economic Cycle Research Institute ECRI

Economic Activity Indicators

Institute for Supply Management
National Association of Credit Management
Baltic Dry Index - measure of commodity shipping costs BDIY:IND
ISM Manufacturing Index - USA
PMI Manufacturing Index - China
PMI Manufacturing Index - Eurozone
Business Cycle Clock
US Unemployment SA USURTOT:IND
FRB Loan Officer Survey
Bloomberg Global Confidence Index BPGCGI:IND
Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index BFCIUS:IND
US Durable Goods Orders
Consumer Sentiment - Europe
USA Social & Demographic Trends - maps
High yield company loans
Oil Futures net-long positions
Gasoline Futures net-long positions
Reuters/Jefferies CRB IX (Commodities Prices) CRY:IND
Gold Price - Chart
Economic Calendar - FX Street
US Dollar Spot Index DXY:IND
Economic Calendar - Bloomberg
World Bank - Countries and Economies data
IMF - Countries data
IMF - World Economic Outlook Database
www.GlobalFinancialData.com

Interest Rates and Stock Market

An International Analysis of Earnings, Stock Prices and Bond Yields
Federal Funds Target Rate US FDTR:US
Federal Reserve US Primary Cre DISCPRIM:IND (FED rate for banks)
World Interest Rates - FX Street
Libor USD - cost of overnight borrowing US00O/N:IND
TED Spread - interest rates difference banks and 3 months Treasury Notes .TEDSP:IND
ICI Money Market Funds Assets MMFA:IND
ICI Funds Flow
US Commercial Paper DCPA001D:IND
3month US Treasuries USGG3M:IND
10y US Treasuries USGG10YR:IND
30y US bond yield USGG30Yr:IND
US YIELD CURVE 2"S VS 10"S .USYIELD:IND
TreasuryDirect
Fed watch - probability of interest rates moves
Bankrate.com
Dividend Yield - Dow Jones Index stocks
ECB refinancing rate
ECB M3 money supply
Euro-zone Inflation
Euro-zone Unemplyment
Euro-zone Sentiment
Italy 10y Government Bond yield
Germany 10y Government Bond yield
Germany 2y Government Bond yield
France 10y Government Bond yield
Primary Dealer Positions Outright Level US Govt Securities PDPPTOTG:IND

Insightful Analysis

Total Market Capitalization of World Stock Markets WCAUWRLD:IND
ThomsonReuters Financial Database
Frontline "Inside the Meltdown" video Feb 17 2009 - analysis of the financial crisis
Doug Short dshort.com comparative long term charts
The Financial Crisis – A Timeline of Events and Policy Actions
Credit Crisis Timeline 2007-2009
Fed of St Louise - The Financial Crisis Timeline 2007-10
Fed's liquidity lifelines 2007-2010 - Bloomberg
Frontline video: The Madoff Affair - unravelling the story behind the world's first global Ponzi scheme
Niall Ferguson - The ascent of money - video
Lehman's Fall Freezes Commercial Paper Market - Timeline
Frontline Video Oct 20 2009 -The Warning - Investigation of the roots of the global financial crisis; Brooksley Born
Crisis Coverage - Video Nov 17 2009
Adrian Blundell-Wignall: Fixing Finance (OECD) Video
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Paul Atkinson: Origins of the financial crisis and requirements for reform
2009 12 31 Guide to 2010 investment outlooks
Warren Buffett discusses the 2008 Global Financial Crisis with Hank Paulson (ex Treasury Secretary) Feb 2, 2010
Inside the Collapse - 60 Minutes - Michael Lewis - March 14 2010 - part 1
Inside the Collapse - 60 Minutes - Michael Lewis - March 14 2010 - part 2
Maurice Greenberg former CEO of AIG interview 2011 01 12
Aswath Damodaran (NYU) - international markets Valuation Data
David Swansen (Yale) - Investing for the long run - video, transcript
McKinsey Jan 2010 - Debt and Deleveraging
Shane Oliver AMP - Investment cycles - why they matter
Money, Power and Wall Street - Frontline May 2012
Shane Oliver AMP - On Dynamic Asset Allocation with ETFs March 2013